NFL Draft Dog

Carolina Panthers NFL Team Column

Panthers By Rick Weaver

Discuss the Carolina Panthers in our message boards
27 April 2007

The Panthers Draft: Day 1

From an investment perspective, if this draft was a financial market or stock exchange and if the Carolina Panthers were buying stock instead of making draft picks Saturday, one could argue that the Panthers sort of acted like they were a couple of 30 year old, single, financial speculators or "day traders" with plenty of disposable income to play with, who just had the need to rush out and buy a huge chunk of some new fangled, risky, "tech" stock...all based on a couple of "hot tips", from a friend of a friend. Face it, trading up and getting and extra first round pick just screams out: "WE HAVE TO WIN NOW!" Just like a speculator buying the latest internet stock offering, on a hot tip, says, " I want to strike it rich now, and not think about possible losses and not worry at all about the future!" On the other hand it seemed most of the other teams, on day one of the draft, acted as if they were 65 year old retirees, investing only in blue chip stocks, government issued treasury bills and FDIC insured, certificates of deposit while only occasionally picking up a few shares of Microsoft for their grand kids. Most teams played it safe. A few teams did make some trades to get who they wanted. One was the Atlanta Falcons. Now, if the Falcons were investors then a case can be made that they may have acted like they had inherited some rich uncle's fortune, got drunk, then decided to invest a large chunk of it in scratch off lottery tickets or on some ocean front lots located deep in the Florida Everglades. It even looked as if the Atlanta Falcons could have traded down, instead of up and still have picked up a player as good as or possibly better than, USC's Sam Baker, who they seemed to think highly of. Different teams had different agendas. While most teams "stuck to the script", a few teams, like the Panthers, were "on a mission" and decided to gamble just a bit.

There were four running backs in this draft class who looked to be possible big time, impact making players right out of the gate. The Panthers had to have one of those running backs and they marched out and got one in Jonathan Stewart. Stewart was, arguably, the most well rounded back in the draft. Stewart possibly has the highest upside potential of any running back taken in this draft. When Jonathan Stewart visited one of the Panther's team doctors last month, to have his "turf toe" repaired, the Panthers found out 2 things. First, they found out they really like the person that Stewart is and second, they found out that Stewart's toe should heal up nicely and that there were no big concerns with it going forward. Many had speculated Stewart could easily have been the first running back taken had he not had the problems with the toe. That supposed questionable toe may have just locked in a superstar running back for the Carolina Panthers.

Carolina also had their gun sites set firmly on Jeff Otah. He (Otah), is a very highly ranked, bullish playing, hard hitting tackle and was still available after the Panthers filled their running back need and they went right after him. In doing so the Panthers also got one of the top rated tackles in first round of this year's draft. Two solid first round picks are nice and yes the price was high. But they had to do it. Will these picks pan out and will these players be big time NFL producers? I feel they will. First round players generally tend to make a more immediate impact than players taken later in the draft do and the Panthers need an immediate impact from both of their first round picks.

Now the Panthers need a defensive tackle and there are a few that should be around in the third round and maybe a couple even later. There is also the need for a solid defensive end and there are very few, possible "impact" ends, if any, left in this draft. However, some seem to forget that for the last two seasons, Mike Rucker averaged only 4 sacks per year, a far cry from the 12 sacks he made in 2003. Also, don't forget the Panthers did pick up former Raider Tyler Brayton. While Brayton was no sack master, in all fairness he played both the linebacker and defensive end positions for the Raiders. I do not think Carolina has to go out and get a world class defensive end, just yet. If the Panthers can just get a little better at the defensive tackle position and if the "real" Julius Peppers returns this season then the team may be on to something. They will need to upgrade just a bit at the other end position and possibly add a new safety in this draft, and if they do then they may well be on their way. Remember, if they cannot get that productive defensive end in this draft let us not forget the NFL trade deadline reaches over 6 weeks in the 2008 season. So, there is no need to panic just yet over the defensive line. There is possibly a need here to break out the champaign and offer up a toast to GM Marty Hurney and head coach John Fox for making a few great decisions under fire.

My overall day one draft grade for the first two picks: A +

Back to the Top

26 April 2007

Panthers Draft Day

With the NFL gearing up to draft the best young talent in college football it seems the process is fairly cut and dry, but it is not. There are scenarios upon scenarios, mis-information, "draft boards", depth charts, trades, pick swapping and many other ideas used to get the teams closer to the players they want to select. The Carolina Panthers have employed a 'horizontal' draft board. This setup is a bit different than some other teams as Steve Reed, The Gaston Gazette, indicates the Panthers will "rank players together in clumps of about three to five with several different positions included."

Using this formula will allow the team to see who is the top ranked pick player available when their turn in the draft is "up". If the player they want has already been selected, then the board will easily allow them to move to the next player in the grouping or "clump" of players. It lets them evaluate where the team's next set of needs are, and it lets them see the quality of the players still available. Finally the team can draft accordingly. Let's look at the first few rounds of this year's draft and a few possible choices the Panthers may face this Saturday while using a similar type of draft board:

First Round 13th pick: Potential available player rankings:

1st:Ryan Clady (OT) 2nd:Branden Albert(OT) 3rd Rashard Mendehall (RB) 4th:Jeff Otah (RB)5th:Jonathan Stewart(RB) 6th:Matt Ryan (QB)

Second Round 43th pick:

Rankings: 1st: Felix Jones 2nd:Dre Moore (DT) 3rd:Carl Nicks (OT) 4th:Joe Flacco (QB) 5th: Matt Sims(OT)

Third Round 67th pick:

Rankings: 1st: Ray Rice (RB) 2nd: Matt Forte (RB) 3rd: Duane Brown (OT) 4th: Tyrell Johnson (SS) 5th:Tony Hills(OT)

Third Round 74th pick:

Rankings: 1st: Marcus Harrison (DT) 2nd:Chad Henne (QB) 3rd:Chris Ellis (DE) 4th:Kevin Smith(RB) 5th:John Greco (OT)

PROJECTED CAROLINA DRAFT PICKS: ROUNDS 1-3

13th pick: JEFF OTAH-OT (CLADY AND MENDEHALL LOOK TO BE GONE BEFORE THE 13TH PICK)

43rd pick: DRE MOORE-DT (A GOOD CHANCE MOORE WILL BE HERE, IF NOT CALAIS CAMPBELL LOOKS HAVE REAL VALUE IF HE IS STILL AVAILABLE)

67th pick: RAY RICE-RB

(IF THE PANTHERS CANNOT PICK UP A RUNNER LIKE MENDENHALL OR STEWART IN THE 1ST ROUND OR FELIX JONES OR JAMAAL CHARLES IN THE 2ND ROUND THEN RICE LOOKS TO BE A SOLID PICK...HOWEVER MATT FORTE CAN JUST AS EASILY BE CHOSEN HERE)

74th pick: CHRIS ELLIS-DE

(IF HENNE IS STILL AVAILABLE (A LONG SHOT) AND IF CAROLINA COULD NOT LAND JOE FLACCO EARLIER IN THE DRAFT THEN HENNE COULD BE PICKED HERE BUT IT LOOKS AS IF THE TEAM REALLY NEEDS MORE DEPTH ON THE DEFENSIVE LINE).

Back to the Top

21 April 2007

Panthers' 2008 NFL Draft Needs

WITH THE 13TH PICK IN THE 2008 NFL DRAFT THE CAROLINA PANTHERS SELECT?

In just 7 days we will all know just how highly Carolina Panther Head Coach John Fox and General Manager Marty Hurney thought of Rashard Mendehall, Jonathan Stewart, Jeff Otah, Ryan Clady and a handful of other players who they have visited or who they have had scouts visit with this offseason.  It is quite easy to say the Panthers will take a left tackle with the 13th pick but for that to happen there has to be a high quality, NFL start worthy, tackle available when the Panthers make their selection. After a look at the Panther's depth chart it looks as if the Panthers may need a running back capable of making an impact in his rookie year more than anything else.  

Take a look at the following questions to help figure out where this franchise may pick:

-Does the team currently have a serviceable offensive line? Well, yes...but just barely.  There would have to be some major shuffling done and  probably another free agent addition made, plus a good bit of luck, in order to put together an offensive line capable of playing good football without the team having to use their 13th pick in next week's draft.  Another way to improve at tackle is to improve at running back.  There are probably 3 or possibly even 4 running backs, in this draft, who are good enough players to help keep a few NFL defensive lines busy enough and honest enough to slow their rushers down. 

Having a running back like that may just help negate the need for the Panthers to go on a quest of trying to find their next new "pro-bowl" tackle with their first round pick.  Whoever the player is the Panther's decide to plug in to be their starting left tackle needs to be good enough to go up against the NFL's most elite defenders and consistently prevent them from attacking Jake Delhomme's blind side.  Every defensive player the Panthers face this season will know Delhomme's elbow is probably questionable. With that said you can rest assured they will come after Delhomme as if he has a bright orange target drawn on his elbow.  Face it, the Panthers have to be strong at the tackle position but they do not have to be perfect.  Is there any rookie tackle, coming out of this draft, who can go out there and play left tackle and dominate the NFL's most elite defenders, and protect a player like Delhomme?  The answer has to be, probably not. 

Now, I feel there just may be a few running backs in this draft class who have a "bruising" enough and "punishing" enough style of runnin between the tackles who can possibly go out there this season and keep a few defensive players off balance?  There have already been some free agent additions to the offensive line and if the Panthers do go with a running back in the 1st round there will have probably have to be at least one more free agent addition to the Panther line and an offensive lineman taken in the 2nd or round or later. Keep in mind the Panthers had planned to move Travelle Wharton back to the guard position after Mike Wahle was released thus creating this void at tackle.  However, the Panther offensive lineman have displayed their ability, in the past, to be flexible enough to play multiple positions if needed.  This season could possibly throw up one or two of those "if needed" scenarios.

This draft has a few good tackles near the top of the class but the quality looks like it will drop off pretty quickly after the top 10-13 picks have been made. With a few possible serviceable offensive linemen left in free agency and with the probability of a few decent offensive linemen becoming available from other teams trying to make room for new draft additions later in the pre-season, there should be at least one or two quality offensive lineman for the Panthers to pickup without having to draft a tackle in the 1st round. 
There is a big "IF" surrounding the Panthers first pick.  That is,if Branden Albert moves into the top 10 then that might mean Ryan Clady may still be available when the 13th pick comes around. If that were to happen, I could see Carolina making a run at Clady or even taking Albert, if either one of them were still left at the 13th pick. I would not at all bet against Carolina drafting a tackle in the first round as the odds seem to be about 50-50 that a tackle they really might want will be there at the 13th pick. I still have to believe there is one more area that needs first round attention.

One sort if extreme possibility is to move Gross to the Left tackle slot (that protect Jake's blind side), move Wharton to the right and let Keydrick Vincent, Jeremy Bridges and Milford Brown cover the guard positions.  Then draft a tackle and a guard/tackle in the second andr third rounds.  This moves gets you a first round power runner...No doubt about it.

-Is the defensive line competitive enough to play as a unit the way they are right now? Well, again....yes, but barely.  The Panthers have somewhat of  the same basic defensive unit in place that they had last year, minus Chris Jenkins and quite possibly Mike Rucker.  I know the depth is not there at defensive end just yet but it may be sort of close. They picked up Tyler Brayton to help seal the defensive end position and they have Stanely McClover and Charles Johnson as backups and they could even try and bring Mike Rucker back  (if he does not retire) in an emergency situation.  So, the end position may be tolerable and a 3rd or 4th pick could be used for the position. However, the interior of the defensive line is very thin. The Panthers only have one real starter in place from last year's lineup.  Although Damione Lewis looks to be the new starter the Panthers must add quality depth, if not a potential starter, to the defensive tackle position before the season begins.  I have to believe Glenn Dorsey and Sedrick Ellis and possibly Kentwan Balmer are the potential defensive linemen who look as if they could be starters in the NFL. 

I cannot see Dorsey being anywhere near the 13th pick and Ellis looks to be gone long before the 13th pick as well.  That leaves Balmer. I do not see Balmer falling to the Panther's draft slot late in the 2nd round.  With this in mind there are still some very adequate defensive tackles left in the free agent market. The Panthers could  pick up a defensive lineman like Grady Jackson or Anthony Mcfarland, if they felt they could not draft a solid backup or potential starter in the 2nd, 3rd or 4th round. 

-Are the special teams, kickers and punters good enough to win with?  Yes...But, John Kasay has shown a tendency to be erratic with kickoffs and the Panthers finally signed Rhys Lloyd to handle kickoff duties at the end of last season.  Having an extra kicker consumes a coveted roster spot.  I would not be 100% surprised to see a new kicker get a chance in Carolina in the next 2 to 3 years.  I still think Kasay has at least one or two more, good, productive years left before he retires.  The only outside shot I see at any change in kicking duties would be if the Panthers found a punter who was also a very effective kickoff specialist.  Those guys are very rare players to find and the Panthers will probably not make any moves at the kicker position as long as Kasay has a good training camp and pre-season.

-Is the secondary sound?  Yes, but help is needed and will be on the way in this draft.  Three months ago many felt the Panthers would go after Kenny Phillips with the 13th pick but look what a few free agent signings and a few trades have done.  The Panthers actually do not look too bad in the secondary

if Terrence Holt shows he can play.  But the defensive safety position could be a stronger and look for a safety to be taken in the middle to final rounds. One player of note is Charlotte product, Jamar Adams, safety, Michigan.   Many Panthers players and staff know of Adams and know he is a young man with impeccable character, a great work ethic and solid football skills.  Whether or not his college skill set will translate into a successful NFL career is yet to be seen, but no-one will give it more effort than Adams will.

-Can they win with the quarterbacks they currently have?  Yes but that is a big question and it depends on Jake's rehab going smoothly. In an ideal world the Panthers would have one "proven " NFL tested,  backup qb on their  roster.   We know Jake can win and if he were to go down we also know Matt Moore can win.  Moore was a pleasant surprise last season and looks to have a chance to get much better, especially if he gets the kinds of reps he should get when practice begins.  It would be nice to see what Moore is capable of when he is surrounded by a top flight receiving duo and a power running attack.  So, with this draft having multiple quarterbacks,  it looks like there is no pressing need to draft a quarterback in the 1st round.  The only thing is, if the coaching staff felt Jake Delhomme may not be 100% in September then they could possibly try and make a move up and take Matt Ryan early, as the future "franchise" quarterback, or they could possibly just wait and hope to draft him if he were to fall to 13th overall. Reports have Panther GM, Marty Hurney, believing Matt Ryan is probably the top player in this draft class and certainly a viable suitor for the Panthers job, once Jake Delhomme steps aside.

If you see the Panthers taking Matt Ryan it my be an indication that owner Jerry Richardson may have his hand in the decision. After last season it looked as if Coach Fox may be released due to the Panther's poor record.  When he kept his job many then felt Fox may be on a very short leash and expected to produce a playoff win this coming season or be fired.  It would seem a bit contrary for the coaching staff to be looking at using their first round draft pick on a rookie quarterback, if you believe that same coaching staff's careers are on the line. Also, Baltimore Ravens quarterback Steve Mcnair retired today leaving more speculation that the Ravens will take Ryan if he is still available when they make their pick. This further lessens the chance that Matt Ryan will be available when the Panthers pick in the 1st round.

-How is the linebacking corps and can the Panthers succeed with what they have?  That is a big yes! They look great and with the offseason pickup of Landon Johnson, the Panthers should have one of the strongest linebacking corps in the league.  There is no need to even think about an early round draft pick here.

-The receiving game...can they win?  Are you kidding me?  Of course they can.  Hey, Steve Smith has some real help now. The addition of DJ Hackett along with the  "homecoming" of Muhsin Muhammad, plus having tight end Jeff King back after his 40 receptions last year coupled with Dante Rosario, who had flashes of greatness and with the pickup of backup tight end Chad Upshaw the Panthers may have one of the best receiving corps in the NFL. The Panthers are pretty much set at receiving position.

-Finally, can the Carolina Panthers win with the current running backs they now have? The answer is an emphatic...No.  The Panthers only have one somewhat "proven" running  back on their roster in Deangelo Williams. This is where it all gets scary for the team as a whole.  The Panthers did add Labrandon Toefield and he may work out and that would be great.  However,  he  is unproven as it is, and at best it would be a huge gamble to have count on Toefield to be the "go to" guy on third downs.  The Panther's only other somewhat proven back is Nick Goings.  Goings was very solid at one time however he seems to play with a reckless abandon that often leads him to injury. More specifically, Goings seems to be more and more susceptible to concussions the longer he plays.  This is the one place I feel the Panthers have to make a sound, viable addition to their team.  They need to select a big time running back who can go out and start, run between the tackles and pick up short yardage yet have the ability to occasionally break the long run. Without another running option the Panthers become way too one dimensional. 

If Deangelo Williams were to go down with an injury that would be the end of the Panther's run game as it is right now?   As  far as free agency goes...Well, there are basically no starting caliber, chain moving, running backs out there right now.  There will be a few big name running backs who will be released as the offseason progresses...Possibly a name of note may be Shaun Alexander.  I could actually see him in Panther teal, coming in on short yardage plays.  However, that is a long shot at best and many things would have to happen for something like that to occur and remember, Alexander, who is still somewhat young, seems to play like he is at the end of his career.  For this team to go out and be competitive next season I would have to believe the they have to have their eyes fixed firmly on one of the top 3 running backs in this draft. This scenario would likely have the Panthers taking Rashard Mendenhall 13th and if he is gone then possibly look for Jonathan Stewart or Felix Jones to be taken with the 13th pick.

In summary, I can answer yes to all of the question above but one.  Now, a few of the position questions got just a tentative and shaky "yes" from me.  The offensive and defensive lines need a lot of work.   However, the position that is most troublesome, as of right now, is that of running back and more specifically there is a need for a "power" running back for this team to be competitive.  Now, the Panthers could take someone like a Jeff Otah in the first round and just hope to land Felix Jones in the 2nd round, but Jones looks to be moving up quickly and could possibly be snapped up by Dallas at 22,or they may try and pickup Matt Forte in the 3rd round but that all seems too risky given the need for a solid runner and the possible availability of Rashard Mendehall or Felix Jones at 13.

The Panthers still have a bad taste in their mouths after taking Eric Shelton in the second round in 2005.  Shelton was to be The Panther's new power back but it never happened. Shelton only made it off of the bench a handful of times and his efforts were never that meaningful. It just so happens, in that same draft the Panthers passed over Vernand Morency, Frank Gore and one other power back...Marion Barber III.  I  have a feeling the Panthers do not want to chance a repeat the 2005 draft as there is much more on the line this time.  If the coaching staff is really on the "hot seat"  this coming season  I would find it hard to believe that coaching staff would go into next season with a second or third round running back who may or may not be good enough to make a difference as a short yardage or 15  carry per game running back. I have to believe a 1st round running back is in Carolina's draft sites in the 1st round next week.

Back to the Top

3 April 2007

An Extreme Makeover in Carolina : "A look at the Panther's offseason offensive changes" 

This offseason was supposed to have been a busy one for the Carolina Panthers and so far it has been. It has just not been busy the way some thought it would be. Many Panther fans were looking for a big free agent catch to be picked up by their team. Team watchers felt a player like Michael Turner, Bernard Berrian or possibly a lineman like Flozell Adams or even a superstar like Alan Faneca would become a Panther this offseason. After last year's disappointing season, the general consensus was the Panther team owner, Jerry Richardson, had to have issued coach John Fox some type of "win a playoff game next year or move on..." ultimatum. With that in mind, it looks as if the Panther braintrust, made up of head coach John Fox and general manager Marty Hurney had their team building work cut out for them.

Conventional wisdom plus a stadium full of hungry fans says the team would have to go all out this offseason and try fill all of the holes in the Panther lineup and put together a team that could go out and win immediately, make the playoffs and possibly more. That is asking a lot from a head coach who is presiding over a 7-9 team.  However, the last time two times the Panthers were 7-9 coach John Fox brought them back the following year and led them to a Superbowl and to an NFC championship game. So, if past history is any indication of possibilities that may occur in the future then this upcoming season may just hold what Panther fans have been waiting for.  

Either way, there will have to be a lot of personnel moves made this offseason. There will also have to be some creative accounting applied to the Panther payrolls in order to free up enough salary cap space to go out and get the kind of players the teams needs.  The owner of the Carolina Panthers, Jerry Richardson, will have to be willing to spend whatever funds are needed to get his team back in the playoff hunt. From all indications so far, it looks as if the team's "checkbook" may just be wide open for the coaches and staff to go out and sign few "big name" players and “ink” a few of those "hard to sign" early  draft picks to contracts before the 2008 season begins. So, what have we seen so far?

The biggest offensive signing of this free agency period, for the Panthers, happened over a week ago. The Panthers signed former Seattle wide receiver DJ Hackett. Hackett is a 6'2 208 pound possession receiver and looks to be just what the Panthers needed. Hackett had been courted by the Redskins and by the Tampa Bay Buc's as well as his former team, the Seattle Seahawks. However, it was the Panthers that Hackett met with last and they offered him the "number 2" receiving role and a $3.5 million, 2 year contract. Washington had offered him the league minimum and there was no mention of where Hackett would fit into the Redskin lineup. Tampa Bay did not release any terms of a possible offer and Seattle declined to match Carolina's offer to Hackett, plus he would have had to contend with Seattle receivers Deion Branch and Bobby Engram for playing time. So, Hackett opted for Carolina as he reportedly believed the Panthers were a team on the move and he liked the idea of playing opposite of Steve Smith. The only knock on Hackett has been his health. Hackett suffered a high ankle sprain last year and played very little. Even with the question of Hackett's health you have believe he will have plenty of time to rehab his ankles this offseason. 

Seattle has not always had great luck grooming young receivers and have produced a few receivers, over the years, who have suffered from having the honor of dropping multiple, crucial passes.  This kind of thing is one of the reasons both Keary Colbert and Drew Carter are no longer Panthers.  Fortunately, new Panther DJ Hackett has not had an issue with dropping passes. He has only one drop in the last 2 seasons. Having a big, strong, possession receiver, who can go over the middle and make the tough catches and take the hard shots, yet hang onto the ball is just what the doctor ordered for Jake Delhomme and the Carolina passing attack.  S
hould Hackett remain healthy, his signing could be something of a steal for the offensively challenged Carolina Panthers, considering he is being paid just $1.75 million per year.  That is big money for most of us but for a number 2 receiver, in the NFL, who is capable of 50 or more receptions per season...well, let's just say -that is a bargain. There was not a lot of depth in this year's free agent wide receiving class but Hackett was thought to be ranked in the top five of free agent receivers out there and Mushin Muhammad could not have been far behind.  With that in mind it is really somewhat surprising Carolina actually signed Hackett, given the amount of time they waited to make a move.  He will fill a much needed role in Carolina next season.

Carolina had already begun to address the wide receiver position question before they signed Hackett with their signing of former Panther, Mushin Muhammad. Thanks to a move by the Chicago Bears, who released Muhammad, Carolina got him back for "song".  It has been over 2 years since the Panthers lost Muhammad ("Moose") to free agency. To try and makeup for Muhammad's loss the Panthers had signed Keyshawn Johnson to fill the second wideout's position but that experiment was not a success. However, with Muhammad back in a Panther uniform and possibly lining up in the "slot" position and having DJ Hackett on the other side playing the "2" position, hopefully some of the defensive heat will then move away from Panther superstar Steve Smith. Smith will still command double coverage in some situations but having Hackett and "Moose" in the game will force potential opponents to try and keep from tying up multiple defensive backs from keying in on Smith, on every pass play.  If that happens, the "middle" of the field should be ripe for 7-10 yard passes.

The receiver additions should give quarterback Jake Delhomme multiple targets to throw to when under fire.  I certainly believe a healthy Hackett and the well seasoned pro and crafty veteran, Muhammad, are a very nice and substantial upgrade over former Panthers Keary Colbert and Drew Carter duo. If Jake Delhomme's elbow heals properly- so he can distribute the ball- and if the new Panther, Hackett, can stay healthy, then Carolina looks to have one of the top five receiving trio's  in the NFL.

The next moves the Panthers made were a bit surprising. Guard Mike Wahle was released after his upcoming salary amount due had become a salary cap hit the Panthers could not suffer.  The team’s actions showed they were in a struggle to free up enough money to re-sign their best lineman, tackle, Jordan Gross  yet have enough financial room left over to try and fill the holes left vacant by loses in free agency and players who were released following last season. The team had to believe they could fill Wahle's position by using players who were already on their roster and by bringing in a few free agents who could hopefully give a little depth at the position.  The Panthers used the franchise tag in order to keep tackle Jordan Gross and the team quickly re-signed Travelle Wharton in order to prevent him from being lost in free agency. Last year's starting center, Justin Hartwig, was just released. This move looks like a vote of confidence in second year backup center Ryan Kalil to now takeover the starting center's job.

To help fill other spaces on the offensive line the Panthers signed free agent guard Keydrick Vincent and it looks as if Jeremy Bridges could be possibly be moved to the right tackle position if the team cannot pick up a player who they can trust to start and protect quarterback Jake Delhomme this season. The Panthers also picked up free agent guards Toniu Fonoti and Milford Brown

Brown started 15 games last season for the St. Louis Rams and is thought to be a starting caliber player.  Fonoti has to be viewed as a "project" player.  After being drafted in the second round, in 2002, Fonoti had started 15 games as a rookie in San Diego and was placed on IR the following season.  However, he bounced back in '04 and started all 16 games.  But the '05 season was not as kind as Fonoti lost his starting position then watched as his weight spiraled out of control, to over 400 pounds. He played in only 3 games for 3 different teams in '05 and played in only 3 more games in '06.  Fonoti sat out the entire season last year after being cut during training camp by Atlanta. 
Face it, this signing did not cost the the team very much money and is not a real salary cap hit.
However, Fonoti has shown he can start in the NFL and if there is some way he can get into and stay in football shape then he may make a nice addition to the depth on the offensive line or he could possibly even compete for a staring job. There is very little downside with his signing and if he cannot prove serviceable, the Panthers would certainly release him as Atlanta did last year.

When it comes to the Panthers run game the team had changes in mind going into the offseason but I do not believe anyone thought one of the team's first moves would be to release their starting running back, Deshaun Foster.  Foster's career in Carolina was somewhat average and but he was able to contribute when he not hampered by injuries. Foster had a degree of success when he relieved former Panther power runner, Stephen Davis.  Foster was a nice "change of pace back".  After the Panther's superbowl season Foster was plagued by fumbles and nagging injuries.  Last year Foster split playing time and carries with Deangelo Williams.  While Williams seemed to flourish,  Foster looked to be going the other way.  He seemed to lack some of the former "breakout" ability he had once possessed and his yards per carry numbers were abysmal.  Although Foster was by no means a "bad' running back, he just could not seem to put together a 1000 yard season and be the strong runner Carolina wanted him to be. 

The Panthers had been very successful when they previously had Stephen Davis as the big, "bruising power back" and had Foster as the more "shifty" style running back and "change of pace" runner.  It looked as if the team felt Williams and Foster could fill the same roll as Foster and Davis once had filled. That proved to not be the case.  While it seemed like Williams had evolved into the more "shifty", "scat" back, the larger Foster showed he could not fill the roll of the bruising power runner that the team had so desperately relied on in their 2003 Superbowl run.  That style of "smash mouth" football is what the defensive minded head coach, John Fox,  is all about.  Using a big powerful running back and having a ball control offense with an excellent kicking game plus having a few explosive wide receivers coupled with a "grind it out", strong, gritty and stingy defense is how coach Fox made his mark in the NFL and that is the system he believes in.  These changes just seem to point in that direction.  Also, Foster did not help his case by being a consistent team leader in the fumble department. 

Toward the end of last season Panther watchers could see a shift in the carry totals and a few changes in play calling that seemed to be indicative of a possible changing of the guard in the Carolina backfield.  Last season looked to be Deangelo William's chance to finally make a run at the starting running back job.  It took some repetition but Williams finally seemed to break out in the final 3 games of the season with 242 total yards while averaging 5.3 yards per carry.  During those final 3 games Foster was only able to muster 102 total yards and he had only 3.3 yards per carry. Those season ending numbers seemed to signal the end of Foster's run in Carolina. The Panthers had secretly tried to trade Foster over the past month but could not get any suitors.  Foster was released and then picked up by the San Francisco 49's where he will backup their starting back, Frank Gore. 

Look for Deangelo Williams to now be the new feature back in Carolina.  The Panthers also picked up Labrandon Toefield to hopefully perform as their "power back" and to ad depth in the Panther run game.  Toefield, who was not a starter in Jacksonville, seems to have all of the attributes needed to succeed in the NFL and it looks as if he may get his chance to play in Carolina.  Toefield had been hidden behind Maurice Jones-Drew and Fred Taylor in the Jacksonville backfield. Also, in the run game  the Panthers did re-sign local fan favorite and Thomasville product, Brad Hoover.  Hoover will continue in his primary role as a  blocking back but will himself with the ball in some short yardage  situations.   Look for Carolina to possibly address the need for running back depth in the 2008 draft.  The Panthers may well feel the need to ad a running back with their first round pick.  This would be a big piece of the offensive puzzle for the Panthers. There seems to only be a handful of really good running backs, in this year's draft, who could possibly go out and make an impact in their rookie season in the NFL.  The top three backs should go in the first round but Felix Jones, RB Arkansas, may just land square on the Panther's lap in the 2nd round. If that were to happens the team would have to be torn as it is likely University of Delaware, QB Joe Flacco could also be available then as well. Both of those players would seem to be great picks for the Panthers and some decisions would have to be made on draft day as to who is needed most. 

There are still a few unknowns left in the Panther run game. One is the future status of Panther Nick Goings.  Goings suffered two concussions in the beginning weeks of last season causing him to placed on IR after the fourth game. Goings has always been a great role player as a backup runner and is a nice change of pace back who can also run passing routes. He has done well as a starter when needed. Goings has also become a special teams asset and has shown glimpses of greatness in the past.  However, Goings has had multiple injuries to contend with and especially bad are the multiple concussions he has recently suffered.  However, it was Goings who remained healthy in the team's injury laden '04 season. Goings had 4 back-to-back 100 yard games. Goings also rushed for more than 100 yards per game in 5 of the last 7 games in '04. He helped carry the team to multiple victories then and it seems as if the franchise has shown him a great deal of loyalty during his struggles with injuries. Goings has shown if he has proper blocking help and when he is healthy that he is almost as good as anyone in the game.  The problem is that he has been unable to have those two varibles of good health and solid blocking in place since 2004.

Though it may look as if the Carolina backfield is set...slow down.  Look for at least one more running back to be added to the roster before the '08 season starts.  John Fox and Marty Hurney were both at Darren McFadden and Felix Jones media blitz also know as the Arkansas "pro day".  The team also sent their top scout to see the Rashard Mendenhall workout.  It seems at least one of these running backs will be available when the Panthers make their pick and Mendehall or Jones could possibly be a Panther next year.  Drafting a running back with an early pick would fly smack in the face of the conventional wisdom that has the Panthers taking Ryan Clady or Jeff Otah with their first pick.  These visits could just be a bluff by the Panther brass to help protect the players they really want to pick from possibly being drafted  by divisional foes.  Don't look for the Panthers to sign Darren McFadden on draft day just yet. However, stranger things have happened but one has to believe the Panthers were looking into Felix Jones when they traveled to Arkansas. 

The only thing to give hungry Panther fans a small, teasing glimmer of hope that they could see McFadden in a Carolina Panther uniform next season may be the slight chance that the team could do something out of desperation like trade multiple draft picks for a player like McFadden.  McFadden, a player who could possibly post numbers like Adrian Peterson did last year in Minnesota,  would be great as a short term solution if he could be as productive and remain healthier than Peterson was . However, a move like that would mean the team would have to basically go into next season with the players they have right now and count on McFadden to gain 1400 yards and not go down with an injury. Would that be worth it?  Well, only if everyone could stay healthy, then sure it would be.  But let one key player go down with an injury and the team would finished.  So, I believe the Panthers were only in Arkansas to see Felix Jones and it just so happened that Mr. McFadden was there as well.
 
The last bit of the offensive puzzle concerns the quarterback position. Can Jake Delhomme come back after "Tommy John" surgery in time for the '08 season? And will he be 100%?  Many, including coach Fox believe he will be fine. However, the success rate for comebacks after that procedure are not as good as one may think.  Jake still has a long road of rehab ahead of him.  If he is going to ready for week one he has a lot of hard work and a bit of luck ahead of him. In the meantime the Panthers do have Matt Moore.  Moore proved he could play and he could win in the NFL as displayed in his relief efforts last year.   Moore will have a chance to improve as he should get a lot of work in practice as the number 2 quarterback. However, fans in Carolina easily remember the nightmare scenario that occurred last year when an injury to Jake Delhomme and then another injury to the underachieving backup, David Carr started a mad scramble for another quarterback in mid-season. With that season breaker in mind I am sure the Panthers are counting on Brett Basanez to rebound from his 2007 injuries and be healthy and 100% when the seson begins but the team has to keep an eye on a few backup quarterbacks, either in the draft or in free agency. University of Delaware quarterback, Joe Flacco, received a visit from the Carolina Panthers staff. Flacco is thought to be the prototypical pro quarterback and could possibly find himself available when the Panthers make one of their first day picks.  This draft has a fair selection of decent quarterbacks and even if Carolina passes on Flacco there should be another serviceable quarterback available in the latter rounds . No matter how Carolina addresses the issue at quarterback it must be addressed.

28 January 2007

Carolina's Last Stand and the offseason decisions

The Carolina Panthers-Tampa Bay Buccaneers recap

The Carolina Panthers ended their 2007 season with a 31-23 win at Tampa Bay.   The Panthers wound up with a below average, 7-9 season record.  During the final three game stand, the Panthers showed some character and if anything they showed commitment to their embattled head coach, John Fox, as the team could have just "gone through the motions", but they did not.  Carolina's efforts proved there is some potential going forward in Pantherland.  This season's effort also exposed some bad decisions or bad non-decisions that were made by the Panther staff last year.  There were mistakes in free agency, the draft and in the use or non-use of players in key positions. There are some real issues with certain personnel going forward.  There will be those who are not going to be here next season.  One bright spot was...in the final three games the Panthers faced playoff bound teams.  Out of the final three matchups the Panthers beat a red hot and seemingly solid Seattle team, the Panthers gave the highly rated Dallas Cowboys all they could handle and Carolina possibly had a shot to win the game had the officials not decided to take the game into their hands and finally, they beat the playoff bound Tampa bay Buccaneers. 

Now,  in all of the sports coverage I have seen concerning the Carolina win over Tampa I have noticed everyone qualifies or downgrades  the Panther's victory by stating the fact that..."Tampa Bay was resting their key starters, in order to get them playoff ready".  Qualifying a victory is just fine as long as you look at both sides of the coin.  Yes, Tampa was resting some of  their key starters.  But overall, Carolina just may have had more of a challenge in putting together a starting roster for the same game as they were without many of their original starters.  Think about it, Tampa was playing their solid, 2nd string, quarterback but Carolina was playing their 4th quarterback of the year...that is, Carolina had already been through their 1st, 2nd and 3rd string quarterbacks before ringing up their undrafted rookie Matt Moore to start the final three games. Carolina also had a backups playing on the offensive line, the defensive secondary, the linebacking corps had backups, the Carolina receivers had only one true "number one" receiver and there was no clear number "2" wideout plus the special teams had new additions as Carolina had just signed a new kicker so I really think it is pointless to degrade the victory as both lacked key players in many positions. 

It seemed the last three games probably helped save John Fox's job. But it seems he was never in much peril to begin with as owner, Jerry Richardson, hinted Fox's position had not changed...leaving those associated with the team to believe that Fox was safe no matter what the season's outcome  was going to be due to Jake Delhomme's having gone down after the third game and then having backup David Carr prove to be a disaster in his relief.   One person who probably earned a job was rookie Matt Moore. His game play and his putting together a few wins helped to lay a foundation for him in the upcoming 2008 campaign.    

DECISIONS, DECISIONS

It's going to be a busy offseason for the Panther's brass, as six 2007 starters -- wide receiver Drew Carter, free safety Deke Cooper, offensive tackles Jordan Gross and Travelle Wharton, fullback Brad Hoover and defensive end Mike Rucker -- will all be free agents.

Carolina's first priority will be to attempt to re-sign Gross, who played at a Pro Bowl level at right tackle and is a great asset as he is just 27 years old. The former first- round selection will command a hefty pay raise and Gross's new salary needs may impact the Panthers position for others like Travelle Wharton. There's precious little depth behind him at left tackle, though, so the Panthers will have to fill that void through free agency or the draft if Wharton is not resigned.

Fan favorite and local boy Brad Hoover will likely be brought back, but Rucker, whose three sacks were his lowest since 2000, is believed to be leaning towards retirement. If the nine-year veteran does return, it will only be as a bit player and at a reduced salary.

In addition to its offensive line needs, Carolina's offseason wish list includes providing upgrades at wide receiver, outside linebacker and free safety. The Panthers may likely try to re-sign Carter, but he's best suited as a No. 3 receiver and just does not provide the complement to, standout wide receiver, Steve Smith that the offense so desperately needed. Fellow wideout, Keary Colbert has been a huge disappointment since a strong rookie year in 2004 and should probably be looking for another team.  Deke Cooper did okay as a stopgap measure in the defensive backfield, but the Panthers could do better at the position.

Considering the linebacking corps and with Dan Morgan unlikely to return, Carolina could seek another playmaker opposite, last year's draft steal, Jon Beason. The club did sign weakside starter Na'il Diggs to a three-year extension last month, but the eight-year pro is viewed more as a high-end reserve than a full-time starter. An intriguing free agent option is Chicago's Lance Briggs, although he'll command huge dollars when he enters the market.

The Panthers would also like to retain reserve defensive tackle Damione Lewis, but it's possible that he'll get a starting opportunity with another team during the offseason.  The rest of Carolina's offensive and defense line player are really a coin toss at this point. Some will be released and some resigned. Look for players to be signed who will help impact the team in the style of football known as "Fox ball".  The style preferred by coach John Foxx that relies on a strong run game, long possession times and a "grind it out" defensive front.

Back to the Top